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Foreign exchange market downturn, focus on EU inflation data

Post time: 2025-12-02 views

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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Forex Official Website]: The foreign exchange market is down, pay attention to EU inflation data". Hope this helps you! Original content below:

Although global bond markets stabilized after a sell-off on Monday driven by Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, Europe remained cautious early on.

In a speech on Monday, Ueda laid the groundwork for a December rate hike, sending global yields soaring and Japanese bond yields also rising sharply.

U.S. Treasury yields were also supported as the market weighed the Federal Reserve's next steps after its December monetary policy meeting next week.

According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, the market continues to estimate an 87% chance that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) later this month.

The latest data released by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) on Monday supported dovish market expectations.

The U.S. manufacturing sector contracted for the ninth consecutive month in November, with the ISMPMI falling to 48.2 from 48.7 a month ago. Market expectations were 48.6.

Basic market trends in the foreign exchange market:

Despite weak U.S. data, the U.S. dollar (USD) found support from a surge in U.S. Treasury yields. So far, the U.S. dollar has realized the rebound momentum of major currency www.xmasseuse.competition, with the U.S. dollar index (DXY) rising steadily to around 99.50.

On the sidelines of the Asia conference, data released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed that the country's current account balance fell by A$500 million in the September quarter. However, the data failed to have a negative impact on the Australian dollar against the US dollar, which rose 0.15% on the day to 0.6555.

USD/JPY rebounded to 156.00, recovering from previous losses.

EUR/USD at 1.1600Trading within the narrow range above. Traders are turning cautious as Eurostat is about to release its Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HICP) inflation data for November.

GBP/USD held on to 1.3200 as no top macro data was released on either side of the Atlantic and trading was lackluster.

Bulk market fundamentals:

Gold was still in the doldrums in early European trading on Tuesday. Despite mixed fundamental signals, gold still managed to hold the $4,200 mark. The generally positive tone in the stock market has dented demand for traditional safe-haven assets and pulled it away from its highest since Oct. 20, a level hit on Monday.

Analysis of major currency trends:

Euro; EUR/USD is still in the range below 1.1655, and the intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, a decisive breakthrough of 1.1655 will www.xmasseuse.complete the top and is expected to form a bottom pattern (LS: 1.1540, h: 1.1467, rs: 1.1490). This would say that the entire decline from 1.1917 has been www.xmasseuse.completed as a correction. This should be followed by further gains towards the 1.1727 resistance first. However, below 1.1554, the downward direction of the 1.1490 support will first change.

Foreign exchange market downturn, focus on EU inflation data(图1)

GBP: GBP/USD quickly fell back after rising slightly to 1.3274, with the intraday bias turning neutral again. On the upside, sustained trading above the 55 DEMA (now 1.3265) should confirm the pullback from 1.3787 is www.xmasseuse.complete. Further gains should follow towards the 1.3725/3787 resistance zone. However, on the downside, a solid breakout of the minor support at 1.3199 will awaken short-term bears and bring about a retest at 1.3008.

Foreign exchange market downturn, focus on EU inflation data(图2)

JPY: USD/JPY has a slightly downward intraday bias, focusing on the recent rising channel support (now 154.44). Expect to see strong support there, which could lead to a rebound. If there is small resistance above 156.57, it will test 157.88 again. Further losses below 157.88 will resume the overall rise from 139.87. Next target is structural resistance at 158.86, followed by the high of 161.94. However, a sustained break above channel support would bring a deeper correction to the 55DEMA (now 152.86) and increase the likelihood of a short-term trend reversal.

Foreign exchange market downturn, focus on EU inflation data(图3)

The above content is all about "[XM Foreign Exchange Official Website]: The foreign exchange market is down, pay attention to EU inflation data". It is carefully www.xmasseuse.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Foreign Exchange. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for supportinghold!

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